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THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION, Posted by: grass on Oct 09, 2003 - 09:54 AM
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www.joshuatickell.com/writer/Tickell70.pdf
by Joshua Tickell, for Home Power Magazine
At some moment during the next five years, we will
have consumed more than one half of the total usable
fossil oil on Planet Earth. To date, we have extracted
807 billion barrels of crude oil. Only an estimated 995
billion barrels remain that can be extracted at current
production costs.
If the worldwide rate of oil consumption remained a
constant 24 billion barrels of oil per year, we would run
out of oil in 2040. But consumption is not static—it is
increasing by about 2 percent per year. Even our rate of
increase is accelerating. Demand for oil will overshoot supply well before 2040.
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